Thursday, October 22, 2009

traderpsyches: “To be better risk-managers or traders, you need to become conscious of your feelings and emotions. Then, you can be aware of your biases and you’ve got a better data set.”

If anyone is interested in becoming a better trader or investor, then I highly recommend the work of Denise Shull over at traderpsyches. The following comes from a recent article:


'...Feeling and emotion are part of your analysis and decision-making,” she says. “To be better risk-managers or traders, you need to become conscious of your feelings and emotions. Then, you can be aware of your biases and you’ve got a better data set.”

She says modern portfolio theory and behavioural finance have neglected to explain how individuals’ views of the market are shaped in the first place, while context-free trading formulas and market theories fail to describe financial markets accurately.

“These are social markets,” she says. “All you’re doing is betting on what other people are going to pay for. We’ve tried to turn that into an algebra problem and it’s not.”

This is challenging stuff – not just for the male-dominated world of trading. Ms Shull suggests that what she is proposing is nothing less than “rethinking thinking” – challenging our ingrained views about how we should use our brains in the first place.

“Our psyche uses feelings and emotions as a resource, but we’ve all been brought up to think it’s not a resource,” she says. “It’s been denigrated. We’ve got to teach people how to reclaim it and analyse it. It’s always been there, colouring our perceptions of the market.”

By telling traders to set aside these emotional data, Ms Shull maintains, conventional wisdom goes against human nature. “We’re fighting the way our brains work,” she says. “Let’s start working with our brains. If you do, you’ll be able to manage risk better and read markets better – and have a chance of beating the people who aren’t.”

She is sceptical of the notion that high frequency trading has removed feelings from the activity. On the contrary, Ms Shull says, algorithmic trading strategies are stuffed full of assumptions and sensitivities – and deciding when to shut them off can be emotional...'

'...Ms Shull’s technique is founded on identifying feelings and articulating them. “Feelings and actions are separate things,” she says. “Everybody says: ‘control your feelings’. But you don’t have to control your feelings, you have to control your actions.

“However, because people haven’t been taught to deal with feelings as data, the energy of the feeling goes straight to the action – you act out the fear, the greed, the anger, because you haven’t been taught to look at fear, greed and anger as data first.”

She advises traders to identify their emotions and analyse how much they are connected to their trading positions as opposed to external influences. It helps to articulate them – if not to a psychologist then by speaking into a tape recorder or writing in a journal.

This way, traders can know if they are anxious because of something in their personal lives, or because of their feelings about the market.

Ms Shull says emotions can sub-consciously signal trading opportunities. “Your brain has been watching these markets for years,” she says. “It knows patterns you’re not conscious of, and it’s communicating that on a feelings-based level...'

2 comments:

  1. “Everybody says: ‘control your feelings’. But you don’t have to control your feelings, you have to control your actions."

    Great stuff Adam.

    ReplyDelete
  2. thanks solfest...the material from traderpsyches is great...i am thankful to mvw for bringing them to my attention about a month ago...

    while i continue to try to get better at the technical aspects (iq) of this game, i am finding that i really need to work on the emotional aspect (eq) even more...planing the trade is getting somewhat easier, however trading the plan is another thing...

    breath work and mindfullness practice, among other things, have been quite helpful...with these tools i have become a bit better at judiciously responding to my feelings instead of just instantly reacting to them...when trading, it feels like a pretty constant endeavor...

    ReplyDelete